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Failure To Implement Russian Oil Ban Could Send Oil Crashing To $65

A key factor in the upper band of the benchmark crude oil trading ranges over the past weeks is market concern over a ban of Russian oil exports to the European Union (E.U.). Prior to the invasion of Ukraine, Europe was importing around 2.7 million barrels per day (bpd) of crude oil from Russia and another 1.5 million bpd of oil products, mostly diesel. This fear, though, is vastly overblown for several reasons analysed below. The removal of this particular fear factor in the oil price will allow oil prices to move back over the course of this year to the level they were before the Russia-Ukraine ‘war premium’ began to be priced in by the smart money in September 2021, which was around US$65 per barrel (pb) of Brent. The primary reason why a meaningful E.U. ban on Russian oil (or gas) will not occur is that it would … Read more

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Major Indices Finish Week in Red, Despite Jumps Friday

Stocks jumped Friday, as investors looked to steer the S&P 500 away from official bear market territory and bounce back from a week of sharp losses.

The Dow Jones Industrials climbed 466.36 points, or 1.5%, to finish Friday and the week at 32,196.66, breaking a six-day losing streak

The S&P 500 restocked 93.81 points, or 2.4%, to 4,023.89.

The NASDAQ Composite spiked 434.04 points, or 3.8%, to 11,805.

Despite those gains, the major averages were on track to post losses for the week. The Dow is down more than 2% and currently on pace for its first seven-week losing streak since 2001.

The S&P 500 has fallen 2.5% and is on course for its longest weekly losing streak since 2011, while the Nasdaq has slipped about 3% this week.

All the S&P 500 sectors moved higher on Friday led by gains in consumer discretionary and information technology. It was a … Read more